Prediction Markets Could Reach $10 Trillion by 2035, Bernstein Says
Bernstein Predicts $10 Trillion Prediction Market by 2035—10X Its Original Forecast
Bernstein has raised its long-term estimate for the global prediction-market industry to $10 trillion by 2035, a forecast that is 10 times larger than its original projection.
Prediction markets allow participants to trade contracts linked to the outcomes of future events. These markets have gained broader attention as platforms expand beyond traditional financial instruments and offer contracts tied to political, economic, cultural and other real-world developments.
The revised estimate signals that Bernstein expects prediction markets to become a substantially larger segment of the digital-asset and financial-services landscape than previously anticipated. The scale of the new forecast also highlights growing interest in markets that aggregate participants’ views on uncertain future events.
However, the forecast remains a long-term projection. Reaching a $10 trillion market by 2035 would depend on sustained user adoption, regulatory developments and the continued expansion of prediction-market platforms.
